The following error those who put on the football, make when paying too much attention to statistics . History personal meetings until 1889 , statistics of matches at home and away , the history of games each team at all , on the day of this match ... In these data we can even find some statistical regularities (though not while playing football for 500 years , the statistical significance of these patterns is low ) , and it is quite possible that this match will end in full accordance with the regularities found , except that it mean? Hardly anyone even lovers of bets Statistics believes that the players out on the field and play , looking at these numbers . "Comfortable" or « uncomfortable» opponent — no idea of the betting world , but just one of those statistics — maybe somehow affect the participants of the match , but rather before and after the match , when they give interviews. Hardly on the players think about the fact that the team for which they currently stand , did not win today with his opponent since 1972 , and even more unlikely it imposes on them an additional psychological burden . More likely, they will weigh the current protracted no-win or goalless series . Still, the result of each particular match — a random variable that is independent of the statistics of previous meetings . If all the matches were played by the same formulations in identical conditions , then more of their results could be deduced something useful . And so — any series sooner or later terminated , and any patterns found in the statistics may stop working at any time and for all. And finally, if in betting on football would play a major role statistics , the best players would be encyclopedic , korpeyuschie on inventories and know by heart all the details, even to the minute on what was scored the winning goal in the decisive match of nothing outsiders 5th League Championship Honduras in 1965 . But this does not mean that the statistics completely useless . First, very often, when there is no other information bookmakers fielding coefficients , based on statistics , which means having some important news , inaccessible to the majority , we can see the advantage. In general , in any case affect the statistics exhibiting coefficients. Here is why you can not take it as a basis for the selection of rates — it has also taken into account in the coefficients. Secondly, recent matches stats team has much to talk about it . However, without knowing the reasons for these results , place undue reliance on it is still impossible — maybe drop the team was not a recession, just the players, « poured » coach , and once it was removed , they began playing again in full force. Something curious about the style of the team can tell and statistics meetings home and away this season : for example, if the team plays better on the road than at its stadium , especially if it has a little home performance , it is obvious that this team has problems with the game " number one " , and simulated a favorite tactic — from defense to counterattack. However, in this case, better to get confirmation that guesses : perhaps just a coincidence that she played at home only with the leaders , and on the road — with outsiders . Even when using such statistics should follow the composition of the team if she changed half the players and coach dozayavok , the results of previous rounds are useless for us to dial digits . Fortunately, the Internet can now be found in almost everything, even the sites of amateur clubs .